Housing supply is stalling. Inventory has held steady near 864,000 homes for 12 straight weeks—about 18% above last year—as fewer new listings hit the market and more sellers choose to withdraw instead of cutting prices. This marks a return to more typical seasonal patterns after years of late-year inventory growth.
Withdrawals are rising. Through September, withdrawals climbed to 42.3% of new listings, a sign that many sellers are testing the market but pulling back when offers don’t meet expectations. Some will relist later this year or in 2026, creating a pipeline of delayed transactions rather than a wave of “shadow inventory.”
Sales are improving slightly. Pending home sales remain roughly 5% higher than last year, showing that buyers are still active despite affordability constraints.
Prices remain steady. The median price of new contracts is $398,000, about 1% higher than last year, with 41.5% of active listings having reduced their price. Many sellers are holding firm, reflecting the “downside stickiness” of home values in today’s market.
Takeaway: With inventory flat and many sellers waiting on the sidelines, those who list now face limited competition—but success depends on testing the market with the right pricing strategy. Buyers can get ahead by leveraging Private Exclusives and Coming Soon listings to access opportunities early.
Source: Altos Research, Compass, Single Family - Updated through October 3rd